Monday, January 28, 2013

Sterling slumped, Gloomy Economic Outlook

Sterling slumped, Gloomy Economic Outlook. Until the afternoon trading session on Tuesday (29/01) British currency - Pound still stuck in low range in 5 months against the U.S. dollar because investors are still worried that the British economy so fragile that it raises the prospect of further monetary easing from the central bank. Sterling recorded range in the 1.5703 area after sinking to the level of 1.5683 the low point today, even session yesterday had dropped to 1.5673. Today the Queen Elisabeth currency can only go up to the highest level 1.5708. Performance Sterling was also exacerbated by rumors that Mark Carney will officially served as the Governor of the BoE (Bank of England) by the end of this year. The market is worried Mark Carney will take more aggressive action to spur economic growth by continuously adding no other stimulus. This will likely weigh on the strengthening of Sterling in the long run. Sterling was also weighed down by increased risk of downgrade credit rating 'AAA' for Britain.

Hang Seng Still Stuck in Range Negative

Until the trading session on Tuesday afternoon (29/01) Hang Seng index was recorded at a negative number because burdened by selling shares of the banking sector following the collapse in the stock Industrial and Commercial Bank of China up 2.4%. Triggered the fall of the stock after Goldman Sachs yesterday raised total sales up to $ 1 billion in shares to switch their banking to China banking stocks. In addition, shares of China-based property developer has experienced a correction after slumping most of the equities on Wall Street overnight. Recorded Sino Land Co stocks. fell 1.2% and New World Development Co. declined 1.4%. While when referring to technical duration 1 hour chart, the Hang Seng index at least still has the potential to rally even as the second session confirmed bullish Stochastic indicator. While MACD is in the positive zone will help shore up the index.

Hang Seng rallied seen aiming resistant up to 23 880 23 800 23 760 then. While the correction will bring the index down to support up to 23 460 23 550 23 620 then. Under current conditions, the indicator Moving Average (MA-14 and MA-30) in the 1 hour time frame was also confirmed uptrend.

Look forward to the Regional Stock Release Important Data

Most regional markets quiet activities due to the actions of investors who choose to restrict transactions ahead of important economic data.

- Nikkei +0.3%
- S & P / ASX +1.1%
- HSI flat
- Kospi +1.0%
- Taiex +1.1%
- Sensex +0.1%
- Shanghai Composite +0.3%
- STI -0.1%
- NZX-50 -0.1%.

In the forex market, EUR and USD is relatively immobile stable amid lack of clear instructions markets as investors wait on the outcome of this week's FOMC meeting, U.S. jobs data and Chinese manufacturing data as a guide. EUR / USD is at 1.3448 from 1.3457 Monday night in New York. EUR / JPY at 122.07 from 122.10, and the USD / JPY is at 90.78 from 90.84. India's central bank cut interest rates by a quarter basis points to 7.75%, and lower growth and inflation forecasts for this fiscal year through March. RBI also decrease minimum cash requirement of 0.25 percent to 4.0% from February 9. The central bank will also poured cash amounting to INR180 billion ($ 3.34 billion) into the banking system. New Zealand's trade surplus to NZ $ 486 million in December, up from a revised decline in November amounted to NZ $ 590 million and above expectations for a deficit worth NZ $ 125 million. The price of gold at $ 1,659.80, up $ 5.30 from the NY close. March Nymex crude oil futures contract rose 33 cents to $ 96.77/barrel.

Nikkei Bullish Technical maneuvers

Although today's trapped under level 11 000, the Nikkei - Japan still remained in the range of positive numbers is mainly due to rise by KDDI Corp. shares surged by 3.6 per cent. The telecommunications company was yesterday reported third-quarter net profit rose about 40%, nearly double that of the previous period. The company also raised its full-year earnings amounted to Y505 billion from Y500 billion. While stocks rebound after Japan's construction machinery Caterpillar still cautiously optimistic about growth number of economic indicators on Monday despite record fourth-quarter revenue below estimates. Shares rose 1.0% observed Komatsu and Hitachi Construction Machinery surged 2.3%.

From the technical side, slid yesterday after the session, the Nikkei today because maneuvering bullish Stochastic indicator of duration 1 hour monitored in an uptrend, even MACD also helped shape the curve uptrend. Nikkei Rally will continue to appear until 10 950 11.000 resistant valid until the next session today. Meanwhile, when the index was unable to continue the rally, Nikkei trend will lead to correction support then 10 820 10 870 (38.2% Fibonacci retrace) to 10 780. However, for the next few days because the index seems still bullish Nikkei several key indicators such as Moving Average and Stochastic (daily) is seen in conditions up-trend.

China Shares Need Strong Catalysts

By noon, the stock China moves relatively flat amid lack of trading cues. Gain on property stocks managed to offset weaker banks. Shanghai Composite Index 2347.39 moving flat and has a chance to move in 2300-2360. "Gain the stock market that occurred yesterday (28/01) is not offset by the increase in transaction volume, this causes the index gain does not continue. Should be no further action and also injection of funds," said Zhang Gang, an analyst at Central China Securities. Among active stocks, China Vanke rose 2.8% to CNY12.40, and China Merchants Property Development +1.6% to CNY29.76. While banking stocks move down after news of the sale of shares of Goldman Sachs. ICBC fell 0.9% to CNY4.25, and Ping An Bank -0.7% to CNY20.93. The Shenzhen Composite Index rose 0.7% to 939.41.

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