Showing posts with label Non Farm Payrolls. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Non Farm Payrolls. Show all posts

Thursday, March 7, 2013

Strategy Facing NFP News - Non Farm Payrolls

Strategy Facing NFP News - Non Farm Payrolls. The U.S. dollar is the most important currency in the global economy today, the release of the report the U.S. economy is the most market moving. Most market moving now is non-farm payrolls (NFP). This report will provide data rate of unemployment in the U.S. economy. The unemployment rate has become very important since the beginning of the recession in the U.S. economy. As you may be aware, the U.S. economy is now in trouble with the highest unemployment rates in history. So watch out for the release of the NFP report The news can be positive and negative.

Tips for profit 100 pips more from NFP news. Check Your Calendar This Month First. The effect of this is very big news and 100-200 pips are always like that. My friends do not have to bother thinking about what news is, obviously, every FRIDAY First Sunday of each month, NEWS .... this always comes once a month, at 19.30. Effects of News is always 1 (one) direction quickly, whether up is down, well if so ... what are you doing for free ..... make some trap. Well, now let's create the trap;

Strategy 1 :

Trade should start 30 minutes before News comes later TWO WAY. Trap pairs, please see NFP Strategy Traps.

How :
  1. Open meta trader with the time frame 30 Minutes,
  2. Check current prices,
  3. BUY STOP at +30 from the current price, SELL STOP at -30 pips from current price, ie the price of GBP / USD is now 1.8430, then you can open BUY and SELL STOP STOP 1.8460 at 1.8400. Confused calculate .. Take a calculator ..
  4. Take Effect Power Target according to his, ie Take Profit = 100 (TP up to you, DO NOT ADVICE greedy)
  5. Do not forget to use Stop Loss 50% of your targets, such as Stop Loss = 40
  6. If you use Meta trader trading for real, then do not forget to set Trailing Stop = 15, how to right click on your order and then set Trailing Stop 15 pips. Trailing Stop aims to shift the stop loss to take profit. eg first initial stop loss is -40 pips, then when you profit +30 then the Stop Loss will be automatically shifted +15 pips and profit increases, the trailing stop will automatically increase.
 This strategy almost 90% always successful.
If you are a Standard Account Trader, can actually trade here only 1 (one) times a month for a monthly target of 100 pips. So in 3 months (only 3 times a trade you've ROI).

The key is :

1. Know When Schedule News NFP will emerge this month, every day FRIDAY EARLY MONTHS.
2. Prepare traps 100 pips in 10-30 minutes before News comes with a position as I described earlier.
3. If you are already familiar with this trap, use Quantity 30% of your margin.
4. Enjoy the results of 1 month and wait for NFP News Next Month for the next trade.

Simulation,
Deposit $ 3000, you trade with $ 1000 (Quantity 10,000), with a profit of 1 pips = $ 10, with the trade 15 minutes once a month, 100 pips earned as a target so that the result is quite $ 1000 monthly. (10 million bro .. just 15 minutes once a month ...), already payroll office employee who works hard every day ya .. P Too little capital.

Learning to be speculation :-)

* BUY STOP and SELL STOP is continuing its price .. A Floating .. and Wrong way on this condition .. balaik can somersault in 15 minutes ..

Dare you face the NFP today ? What is NFP ?

NFP = Non Farm Payroll is news enough to determine the movement of the USD (High Impact) effects can be long term. NFP appears once a month, on Friday released the first week of every month.

Because of this great news, technical analysis was considered invalid when NFP, because the support and resistance lines are sometimes hit or penetrated so alone. Believe it or not search engines like Google, too, the impact hit, they were flooded with keywords like this: strategies for coping with nfp news, technology news face high impact / NFP, NFP face trading tips, etc.. highly sought after by traders (especially for those who never MC) as a guide to trading in the evening.

NFP is fundamental, so to be able to achieve a profit abound in a heartbeat ... ya must first understand the meaning / significance figures will be released at NFP. Here's a guide :
  • If the value is higher than the value Actual Forecast, the U.S. will be stronger (usually marked in green). Consequently pair EURUSD will decline.
  • If the Actual value is lower than the value prediction, then the U.S. will be weakened (usually marked in red). The effect EURUSD pair will rise.

So how to deal with today's NFP March 2013 :
  1. We recommend not installing trapping techniques pending order (PO) sell stop and buy stop when news was released. Because, based on personal experience not to be forgotten, prices tend to be quite volatile (read: unpredictable). As a result all the PO will be executed alias locking (hedging) and poor both Stop Loss (SL) ready take profit, leaving the rest of grief with tears trickle hiks ... hiks ... sob.
  2. Entries position should be 15-30min after the news release, referring to the actual value of the U.S. news strengthened / weakened (see forexfactory.com). Because usually the initial reaction in the news release opposite (reverse direction / jerk reaction), well after the 15-30min then the market back to the right way to order hehehehe ...
  3. Note also the actual value of news released at / adjacent, eg Unemployment Rate.

Opinion trading a nubie :

Attach PO limit buy EURUSD / GBPUSD in the strongest support you trust. Happy Trading and Profit Salam.

Tips Trading facing NFP - U.S. Non Farm Payroll / The Employment Report, is the News of the most eagerly awaited each month by the News Trader. His ability to move such a large pair, make time release always eagerly anticipated by the News Trader to profit. This news release every Friday in the first week of each month

In doing trade for payrolls report, there are 4 important data that should be considered as news was released:

1. Previous Value / Value NFP previous month /
2. Consensus value / expected / predicted / consensus / Expected / forecast
3. Actual value of current /
4. Revision value / value revision to the previous month

Previous data and consensus can be obtained from the website calendar as ForexFactory.com or ForexNews.com Forex before news release. Actual values ​​and Revision And we get that news release. Revision value does not appear if there is no revision to the value of the previous month. The problem usually is released rather late revision after Actual figures appear. Most late is 2 minutes. So 2 minutes after Actual number of new emerging movement stable.

Simply put: 23572533

If Actual> from Previous Consensus AND the USD + / Zone BUY USD
If Actual <consensus = "U.S."> Consensus = U.S. +

After 30 seconds later the price will move depending on the Actual vs. Previous.

Signal vs. Actual Previous
--------------------------
If Actual <previous = "U.S."> Previous = U.S. +

Which is troublesome in case of Revision.

If there is a revision then the actual value of the actual vs. Prev Act are:

ACTUAL + (2 x (REVISION - PREVIOUS))

Not confusing enough

But for those of you who have the News Trader trading style put Stop Order Straddle (trap Batman), knowledge of the above it is important to anticipate the loss. For those of you who installed the news trader position after figures released, the easiest way is to calculate the actual value + (2 x (Revision - Previous)) and make sure it is in Zone BUY or SELL USD.

I'm sure by looking at the movement history NFP events before, you will better understand the above explanation, especially by looking at explanations for NFP dated Dec. 8, 2006.

Typically, each DEVIATION 10K between ACT vs CONS will drive pair GBP / USD 15 pips.

Unemployment Rate

Another thing to note is that the value of Unemployment Rate released simultaneously with the NFP. Usually its value in line with the NFP. Noteworthy is that when there is a conflict, then we need to consider the close position soon.

When the Act <> Cons the U.S. Weakens

Any deviation of 0.1% between the Act and the Cons can move the pair's 30pips.
When the direction of NFP and Employment Rate Conflict and the deviation between the Act and the Cons Employment rate of more than 0.2% immediately close the position.

Data Unemployment Rate Initial only influential at Spike. In the event of conflict with the act vs cons NFP movement usually occurs quickly act against NFP vs. cons. Further price release Revision wait and then move in accordance with the Act FIXED.

Friday, February 1, 2013

U.S. Employment Data toss Euro

U.S. Employment Data toss Euro. The euro soared to 14-month highs versus the U.S. dollar after U.S. employment data reinforce the view what are the Federal Reserve helps maintain stimulus policies. The U.S. economy created 157,000 jobs last month, while unemployment rate rose to 7.9% from 7.8%. The euro also reap support from the PMI data that showed the top manufacturing performance in nearly yr, helped by solid German output. "You'll find so many strengths about the data work this occasion for upward revision towards data in December and November, with that in mind the estimate January was slightly below expectations," said Vassili Serebriakov, currency analyst at BNP Paribas in Nyc. "Overall I might not think in case your data showed an acceleration in U.S. labor market trends."

U.S. Dollar Break Low Post Non Farm Payrolls

The U.S. Dollar Index fell to its lowest level from the 3.5 months reported multiple currencies after U.S. employment data which showed the unemployment minute rates are still well above the Fed's target of 6.5% before finally changing the direction of U.S. mortgage rates. A present report U.S. employment sector might be caused by a slowing U.S. economy. Q4 2012 GDP data previously reported decline. Housing industry remains rising and business investment is solid enough, however government is pessimistic projections led many economists predict a pokey originate from 2013, but might be together with an increasingly rapid growth inside other half by using year. Witnessed in terms of the U.S. dollar index fell -0.26%, while using the volume of 79.01, after reaching an intraday highs in 79.20, too the minimum at 78.91 daily.

Sterling Hit By Data Manufacturing

Sterling fell instead of the greenback coming from a market report showed UK manufacturing sector growth is slower than economists expected in January, thus dampen interest on britain currency. Reports Markit Economics and also the Chartered Institute of getting and provides showed UK manufacturing output fell to 50.8 from 51.2 in December, down from an estimated 51. Cable is still being forced after GDP data showed the British economy shrank throughout the last a couple of months of 2012.

Gold Gains On Speculation the U.S. economy

Gold rose with all the third day in four days as the number of jobs inside U.S. increased from the 3 major-months, signaling the economical recovery which could push inflation as being the Federal Reserve include stimulus. The volume of jobs increased by 157,000 in January besides months earlier were revised higher, as shown really government number of Friday. The unemployment rate rose to 7.9% from 7.8%. The Fed asserted that soon will keep monthly bond purchases.

"NFP figures became good, and also the Fed stimulus creates a good beginning towards economy, thin thinking is inflation," said Carlos Perez-Santalla, economist at PVM Futures Inc. in Nj-nj, said through the telephone interview. "assumption may be the income being dumped into one's body, i will have a decline with the valuation to the currency faster."

Toyota's U.S. Sales Up 27% In January

Toyota Motor Corp. asserted their U.S. sales in January rose 27% to 157,725 units. "Speed ​​sales there was within the fourth quarter therein past year is running in January, exceeding our forecast for that industry," said Bill Fay, v . p . of Toyota Motor Sales, USA, Inc..

Oil Complete Longest Rally Since 2004 From Strengthening Weekly

Oil closes while using longest rally inside the weekly grow in additional than eight years from report indicated how the level of workers and manufacturing in the U.S. increased last month. Oil futures rose 0.3 % following Labor Department said the amount of jobs increased 157,000 in January and U.S. Manufacturing ISM reached its highest level in nine months. "The numbers today show what sort of economy could be better than we feel and it is really support for oil prices and merchandise.

Yen Print Decrease Weekly Top-12 streak

The yen fell to its weakest level in 2 ½-year versus the U.S. dollar on speculation that Japanese Chancellor Shinzo Abe will elect the whole new governor about the pro-BoJ monetary stimulus. Yen also posted a weekly decline to 12 uninterruptedly after data showed a rise in unemployment while using the decline in household spending. PM Abe on Friday reported will narrow their email report on potential replacement BoJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa, whose term will expire in April.

"Speculation regarding the new Governor inside Bank of Japan remains a tremendous driver yen today," said Peter Frank, chief strategist at Banco Bilbao Vizcaya forex Argentaria SA working in london. "Particularly using the recent global data which could trigger risk appetite, making the selling pressure around the yen doubled."

U.S. Stocks Rising On U.S. Economic Data

U.S. stocks rallied, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average above 14,000 once level in 5yrs, being the data for your labor market and manufacturing boost confidence in the states when using the largest economy within this planet. "The marketplace industry was greeted with great excitement the unemployment rate," said Wayne Wilbanks, chief economist at Wilbanks, Smith & Thomas Asset Management LLC in Virginia in a telephone interview. "The U.S. economy is constantly on the survive both the data very positive" ie manufacturing and real estate investment opportunities , he was quoted saying.

Equities rally as data from your Labor Department showed employment rose 157,000 after a previous month's data revision of 196.000 and 247.000 surged in November. The unemployment rate rose to 7.9% from 7.8%. Meanwhile, another report indicated that manufacturing with the U.S. rose well over forecast in January, reaching its highest level in nine months, although a greater level confidence among households in the U.S. unexpectedly rose.