Showing posts with label fundamental. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fundamental. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Today Forex Fundamental News Analysis

Overnight Gold Down to 1660 For Fiscal Cliff. Gold is down nearly 2% on Tuesday to its lowest level since August to a level of 1660.80, hit by a massive sell-off and the heightened expectations that the U.S. government will soon reach an agreement to avoid a fiscal crisis next month. Gold scored the biggest daily drop since 2 November. Analysts said gold was supported by rising trendline MA200 day and annual near $ 1.660 per ounce. "If gold can not survive on a key support level, it may be a technical selloff will continue," said Adam Sarhan, CEO of Sarhan Capital.

Easing Expectations Shoot for Asian stocks

Tokyo stocks good perform today (19/12) with the Nikkei perched above the level of 10,000 for the first time since April 4. A weaker yen and rising expectations for monetary easing short-term benefit performance of Japanese stocks. The dollar rose against the yen and rose to Y84.30 compared with Y84.20 late Tuesday in New York - after Japan reported a trade deficit that was almost flat for the month of November. Longest monthly decline since 1980. Data was released one day before the meeting information Bank of Japan. Investors focus on the political implications of the Liberal Democratic Party victory. The majority of economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires had predicted that the central bank will implement easing measures at its policy meeting this week.

A weaker yen combined with strong post-election sentiment helped push the Nikkei index to stay above the level of 10,000 for the first time since April 4. The index rose 1.1% to 10,085. Shares construction helped by positive sentiment after Mr. Abe pledged to budget for spending on a large scale. In addition, the stock price after the Nikkei financial performance trim through the level of 10,000. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group gains 5.1%, Nomura Holdings rose 4.5%, and Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Corporation rose 4.1%.

Exporters continued to print the gain due to the weakening yen. Toyota Motor rose 2.2% and Canon rose 4.5%. Regional markets are still focused on efforts to issue U.S. fiscal cliff - the package of tax increases and spending cuts that are scheduled to be implemented next year. Yesterday (18/12) President Barack Obama indicated that he wants to compromise on the level of annual income to be taxed higher. S & P / ASX 200 rose 0.2% Australia, responded well after mining iron ore price increase. Rio Tinto rose 0.9% and BHP Billiton rose 0.7%.

Gold mining company, Newcrest Mining fell 2.6% after gold closed at its lowest level in more than three months. Gold prices rebounded in early Asian trading session and has recorded an increase of $ 3.20 at $ 1,674.10 an ounce. Also in Sydney, shares of surf apparel manufacturer Billabong International plunged 10.7%, after the company cut its earnings estimate yearly. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 0.5%. While Esprit Holdings fell 5.5% after yesterday said the biggest losses in the six months ended December 31 due to the deteriorating operating profit for the period July-September. In the mainland Chinese market, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.1%. South Korea's market is closed today for the presidential election.

Aussie Avoid High Level

Although the equity market risk appetite is seen to rise with 1:15% SP500 U.S. rose to a high of only 2 months, selling depress the exchange rate AUD / USD to a weekly low of 1.0513 due to the decline in commodity markets such as gold dropped to -1.61% during the NY market closed . Copper also fell to a low level weekly. Australian data releases showed the MI Leading Index was at its lowest level in 11 months at 0.1%. Valeria Bednarik, chief analyst at Fxstreet.com, explained that according to the hourly chart the movement of the AUD / USD looks bearish and below SMA 20 with indicators being negative territory. If the currency broke through the support level, the Aussie likely to continue weakening to 1.0460, "he added. "The interest sold will be reduced in line with weakening currencies in the 1.0400/30 level, otherwise interest will increase the purchase of currency." Aussie support levels at 1.0505, 1.0460 and 1.0430, while resistance levels at 1.0525, 1.0540 and 1.0590.

Obama Ready Republican Press the "Plan B"

John Boehner, a spokesman for the U.S. Congress from the Republicans proposed a proprosal that might prevent the imposition of a tax increase to the U.S. citizens who have an income of less than $ 1 million in his stride to push Obama. Republicans in the U.S. Congress back in the offensive position against negotiating fiscal cliff Tuesday, giving pressure to perform a backup plan before closing this year in order to avoid a tax increase for citizens with incomes of less than $ 1 million per year. Congress Party Republican proposed any proposal that may be proposals that have been proposed previously. The move, as revealed by a spokesman for the Congress, John Boehner in a conference at the congress, aimed at pressing the Obama position. This will change the position of the White House to the Republicans in the U.S. Congress: the likelihood that the White House would be blamed if the majority of taxpayers subject to the higher tax increase next year.

Sunday, October 28, 2012

Fundamental Forex News of Today

Fundamental Forex News of Today. Not Europe that will be the center of attention of the owners of capital in the weeks ahead, but the current situation on American soil.Less than two weeks before the presidential election the United States (U.S.), New York Stock Exchange has been hampered by the problem that was never predicted. Sandy storm that hit the city of New York earlier in the week led authorities closed the floor of the New York Stock Exchange for a while. The focus of the government is now focused on the evacuation of residents to safe areas. However, the electronic trading session likely remain open until there is further confirmation of the suspension.

Back to the conditions in the stock market, investors are expected to be passive ahead of the November 6 general election. Though many things can be the driving sentiment for the stock price. Some macroeconomic data releases will not trigger volatility, regardless of whether or not the results are as expected. The results of the election to be the most awaited because the winner will play a role in determining the direction of U.S. economic policy. Until the decision appears, investors will be patient while waiting for the departure of the storm pulled Sandy.

The most important reports are scheduled to appear this weekend is labor sector data, the most prominent issue in the last presidential debate. Urban employment data and ADP payrolls be opening in November on Friday (02/10). Last month, the unemployment rate fell to its lowest level in more than three years and employment is stronger than reported throughout last summer. The unemployment rate is back at the level of President Obama's first time to rule, but the U.S. economy has not been able to expand employment as it was before the president took office. This means that when viewed from the employment figures, Obama has not made improvement at all.

Other data that should be listened to is a manufacturing report version of the Institute of Supply Management and the Chicago PMI. Last month, the activity of the domestic manufacturing grew for the first time in four months. While two housing sector data, the Case-Shiller index of 20 and construction spending, contributing U.S. reflects macroeconomic conditions. Indications of recovery housing sector seemed last week when the ratio drops significantly foreclosures and new home sales through the highest level in two years. In addition, data of household expenditure and income, consumer confidence and auto sales are also out this week.

Do not forget also the agenda of corporate earnings that have not been completed, because some companies still have not announced his third-quarter income statement. Some of them are Ford (F), Exxon Mobil (XOM), AIG (AIG), Starbucks (SBUX), Chevron (CVX) and Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA). More than half of the components of the S & P 500 have reported earnings performance to date.

Approximately 70% of the issuer's profit above analysts' estimates, but only 36% who scored above the estimated sales figures. Worse, many of the company slashed its revenue target by the end of this year because of the global economic conditions. U.S. stocks posted a second loss in three weeks. The Dow Jones industrial average lost 1.8%, the S & P 500 minus 1.5% and the Nasdaq fell 0.6% during the last week.

Tuesday, September 18, 2012

Analysis of the day Forex Trading

News

Entering day to -2 this week seems to have corrected the world market because investors are still resting after along rallied last week. Moment used to taking either exchange or traded on a stock exchange. Currently, the market also appears wary of the impact of the development from aggressive stimulus. Provided by the Fed last week. So when the market began to focus on the euro zone, where the Spanish state will ask for a bailout to ease its fiscal turmoil.

While in the media curency, the euro despite starting corrected but the currency is still able to survive Wealth highest in four months to usd. Correction thin is more burdened because federal free reserve last week. The euro is currently at the lower range of 1.3100 is lower than yesterday's closing level of 1.3116.

If we look from the technical side to the movement of the euro is seen still bullish, it is seen from stochastic indicator, MACD and moving averagenya some indicators that are conditioned daily tenured uptrend. So that these conditions allow the euro area to keep the rally to 1.3140 and then to 1.3170 level down to penetrate the resistance level 1.3200 last.

But if look at the daily stochastic indicator has allowed the euro to overbold corrected at any time, and if it happens, we can use projection techniques fibonaci retracment lasted 1 hour which we take from the lowest point on the 10th of september to highest at 1.2755 area last Monday at 1.3172 level then we get support prisoners as 1.3070 which is the 23.6% retrace 1.3010 and the 38.2% retrace that until the last support level 1.2960 which is the 50% retrace of fibonaci.

Saturday, July 21, 2012

Know more about Forex Factory - Forex News

forex factory

Know more about Forex Factory is important for for traders. As a nation of economic literacy, the extent of our knowledge about forex? And terms associated with forex forex Resembling like factory and his friends. Before we find out more about the forex world, how well we know in advance about the meaning of forex itself. From various sources, found that forex (forex factory) or more familiar with foreign exchange trading term foreign currency (foreign exchange) that is the alternative netter (in this case the government in many parts of the world, the world's major banks, international-class enterprises, foreign exchange speculators and personal) to work by investing online through internet. Forex trading is the trading transactions of foreign currency exchange rates on international money market.

Among the many terms forex, forex factory there term. Forex = foreign exchange, factory. Thus the foreign exchange forex factory mean that factory? In a forex factory site was expressed that the most popular portal about forex trading on the internet that provide various information on forex trading and other economic news.

Site at Forex Factory


Forex Factory is a site that provides forex news. Since then, the forex factory became popular and the most active forum on the internet. Forex factory have many pages, but the most often visited of which :

1. Interactive Trade Forex Factory

This page gives an overview of :

  • Forex market players to discuss the action occurs when trading forex.
  • Area forex trading system where people can interact and experiment with new and existing trading system.
  • Discussion forum related to forex trading broker and associated problems.
  • Part of forex trade journals that can be visited by netter to learn forex trading.
  • Forex factory always interesting things to post in the forum. Nevertheless, new traders in forex factory claimed to be careful in taking advice and information in forex factory forum before knowing the accuracy of the information.

2. Forex Factory Calendar

Forex factory calendar is very useful facilities to ensure that when market movements are due to be released. Here is part of the forex factory calendar :
  • Dates. Schedule data are days when forex will be released.
  • Currency Exchange. The currency will tend mempengarungi potential forex trading activities.
  • Impact. Potential impacts on listed forex currency when this news was released.
  • Detail. Additional information related to the release of economic data.
  • Actual. Show the actual results of the next release.
  • Forecast. Analysts estimate the release.
  • Previously. Pictures from the last time data was released.
  • Chart. A graphical representation of the historical data.

3. News Forex Factory


Pages in this factory filled with a variety of forex related news forex trading (forex trading) which can be visited by forex traders and boarding ordinary netter to find out news about forex. This news forex presents data on the development of different parts of the world. At this site there is also a result of technical analysis.

4. Trades Forex Factory


Site on forex factory forex serves commercial activity. Displayed with various sale and purchase of forex activity from different countries with different currencies.

Forex Factory - Site News for Forex Trading Fundamental Analysis


Fundamental analysis is very important in trading foreign exchange (forex trading, forex factory), this information can be used to determine the strength of a currency, price changes occur, the value of the currency that is too low or too high, and estimate the potential profit is found. Data are most commonly used are economic, political and news relating to the economic factors of a country, such as central bank policy, industry, unemployment, export-import and so on. More fundamental analysis is used to take the position of middle and long term.

Economic news
continues to run at Bloomberg, MarketWatch, forex factory and other news sites. This is because forex factory is one of the most popular sites.

There are no steps to implement fundamental analysis in trading as follows :

1. Forex Fundamental Analysis Applying steps Factory - View Economic Calendar


Can be seen early in the week on news sites, for example: forex factory. Selected day of the week so that when trading Monday morning, we had a fundamental picture of the week. But only a reflection, because the economic calendar is only available schedule, the previous data and predictions. Better determine the actual results.

2. Forex Fundamental Analysis Applying steps Factory - Actual Data Monitor


Usually if the calendar is a schedule of key economic indicators (eg on sites forex factory usually red). Monitor the actual data that comes out at a pre-determined (see calendar). Actual results can be seen on forex factory calendar. On the website just loaded the economic data that have a significant influence.
3. Forex Fundamental Analysis Applying steps Factory - Technical

Combine data in forex technical factory. When fundamental parallel with the technical effect will be quite uncertain significance. Fundamental priority when not in the same direction as the fundamental data is very significant during the time the release of such data. The rest use your technical analysis. When there is no important data (usually on Monday or Tuesday or the first week of the month), can practice technical skills.

Forex Factory - Sample Fundamental Analysis Based on Economic Data

Data on the economic calendar forex factory showed the following data :

Date 7 April 2006 Non-Farm Payroll data last month predicted = 190 000 = 243 000. Based on the results predicted NFP values predicted to fall. This will result in lower USD, and this means to signal buy euro / usd. But be careful! Because the most important time to learn forex factory is actual data. Commentary on the data often makes Insight USD weight class like this NFP.

On 7 April 2006 that, given that the data Insight January 170,000 243,000 February data. When the NFP in the 210,000 will support The Fed rate increase to 5%. Also are reminded of the existence of possible revision of NFP data (in the forex factory) last month.

Actual data with the revision of NFP is 225 000 210 000 February data. Revised February data is still higher than in January. MARCH-month data was also higher than in February. All this supports the move The Fed raising rate (which is the market's expectation) and the strengthening dollar - >> signal sell euro / usd. Terms like this are familiar in your ear when discussing forex factory.

But again be careful! Do not fall for open positions directly sell euro / usd. See the graphics! Obviously the graphics on the forex factory showed euro / usd up, do not panic and buy directly open position. Wait until the highest point of exit and then open posisisell target set at the point of strong support.