Showing posts with label European. Show all posts
Showing posts with label European. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 5, 2013

European Shares Soar

EURO/USD Charts To New York Session Open Market
European Shares Soar. European stocks recovered on Tuesday after being pressured by the panic selloff the day before due to political and economic anxiety in Spain and Italy. Spanish bond yields on the 10-year tenor soared to the highest level not seen since December amid a corruption scandal that befell Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy and the ruling party in parliament. In Italy, former Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi also promised to change the conservative fiscal policies currently running in Italy if the young re-elected as Prime Minister of Italy in the upcoming elections.

Although there are still problems in Spain and Italy, many European composite index managed to rise due to investor optimism that the President of the ECB, Mario Draghi still provide a second bailout troubled country with unlimited OMT program. As a result, European financial markets stabilized on Tuesday, with the yield on Spanish 10-year tenor edged 0:02 percentage points to a level of 5:44% while Italian bond was flat at the level of 4:47%. Furthermore, investors will waiting for the meeting BoE and ECB monetary policy in recent weeks.

5 Important News Update Coming to New York Session Open Market
  1. Market Tone: Negative sentiment that was seen in the Asian session turned positive since the European session due to Euro zone PMI services report a positive plus the announcement of the resignation of BoJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa on March 19. EURUSD rebounded more than 90 points after the data reported PMI services, while USDJPY test the psychological level of 93.00. Resignation of Mr. Shirakawa even considered would facilitate an accommodative monetary policy in Japan that spurred appreciation USDJPY 95.00 up to the top level.
  2. EU Recovery: Euro zone economy back show reversal direction, after the PMI composite data that measures business activities of thousands of companies in the Euro zone suggest rising for 3 consecutive months after reaching the bottom level in the month of November. These developments have helped to stabilize the euro zone bond yields as investors slow the economic recovery.
  3. Earnings Report: The focus of investors will be focused on earnings reports that Walt Disney is expected to remain flat compared to the prior year due to increased costs for the purchase of sports broadcasting rights and the decline in home video sales. In addition, the investors will also await earnings reports Panera and Chipotle, as well as online gaming company Zynga.
  4. UBS: Attention will then be focused on the Swiss bank, UBS plans to cut 10,000 employees and closed its Fixed Income business unit. Furthermore, market participants will consider private banking unit of UBS's expected will be the company's main revenue source is the future.
  5. Economic Data: In economic terms, as well as the annual budget report followed the economic outlook and revenue expenditure targets for 2014 will attract the attention of investors, followed by the U.S. services sector data for the month of January are predicted to fall slightly to 55.3 compared to 55.7 previously. Decline in the index is limited because of construction sector is expected to increase rapidly and sustain the overall services sector index.
UBS CEO : Interests risk being Very Low

UBS CEO Sergio Ernotti, complained about the lack of investor appetite for risky assets investment in recent times. UBS is now focusing its business on a managed fund management clients and evaluate the effectiveness of trading, the business closed its fixed-income investments. "Risk appetite is very poor clients, as well as interest rate margins," said Ernotti. The CEO admits that they have to look at customer activity before determining the next step. Sentiment biggest influence investment interest capitalists focused on political and economic conditions in some countries, such as the issue of the U.S. fiscal gap at the end of 2012. If this year there were similar issues, the UBS business profit margin is predicted to shrink significantly.

Internally, Ernotti claimed it had learned a lot from Libor scandal in 2012. Due to the problem, the company had reached $ 1.5 billion to pay the fine set by the financial authorities. UBS guarantee will no longer appear similar problems in the future because the directors have evaluated the performance and operational standards. UBS recently posted a loss of 1.9 billion Swiss francs or the equivalent of $ 2 billion in the fourth quarter of 2012 or further than previous year performance. In 2011, banking institutions are successful profit of 323 million francs various lines of business. "You have to deal with the new issues that hit the financial sector, therefore we want to make sure that we are strong enough capital safe," said Ernotti. UBS has strengthened its capital ratios in accordance substance Basel III, at about 9.8% at the end of this year. "We will have a progressive dividend policy this year," added Ernotti.

Negative sentiment in Asia Session Turned Direction In London Opening

PMI services report and the announcement of the resignation of BoJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa on March 19 has helped turnaround in sentiment traders who previously negative to positive in the European session. This change in sentiment has fueled EURUSD rebound to 1.3537 level, rose nearly 90 points after the final data released Eurozone PMI rose to 48.6 compared to 48.3 previously. Euro zone service sector is still in contraction territory, but managed to have increased for three consecutive months after reaching its bottom level at 46.00 last November. This report helped trigger the stability of the bond market as investor relief over the sustainability of the recovery rate of the euro zone.

Separately, a surprise announcement that Mr. Shirakawa will step down earlier than expected has sparked buying USDJPY pairing. Mr. Shirakawa rated as officials opposed the plan Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to make a reflation of the Japanese economy and weaken the Japanese Yen. Therefore, the resignation of Mr. Shirakawa will pave the way BoJ monetary policy more accommodative and potentially trigger a rally USDJPY target 95.00 key resistance levels as traders respond to changes in policy Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.

BoJ's Shirakawa worsen Performance Yen

Continued weakening yen after Bank of Japan Governor Masaaki Shirakawa, announce resignation faster than it should. BoJ's Shirakawa plans to abandon his position as head of the Bank of Japan on March 19;'s three weeks ahead of time his tenure ended on 8 April. USD / JPY is now trading 92 950, away from the daily low of 91,966. "I want to resign on March 19 when the office of the deputy governor of the BoJ other two ends," said BoJ Governor Shirakawa who hopes the new can be installed in conjunction with the other two deputy governors. Shirakawa has submitted his resignation letter to Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. This means that Abe will be able to speed up the ambition to push BoJ take a more active policy by issuing the Japanese economy from the brink of deflation. Abe has now had the opportunity to form a new BoJ governor and two appointed Deputy Governor in mid-March.

Suspend UK Service Sector Sterling


Sterling rose on the London session after data provide services sector hopes UK can avoid recession economy. UK service sector index rose to 51.5 for the month of January; better than predicted 49.5 and 48.9 the previous publication. GBP / USD is now trading 1.57865, away from the daily low of 1.57258. The UK economy contracted in the last quarter back in 2012 after getting out of the recession in early 2012. There are fears the UK could re-experience a recession amid tight government budget cuts, weak domestic demand and global economic uncertainty. Candidates for the next BoE Governor, Mark Carney, has suggested the idea that the central bank adopted GDP as a target in order to maintain the sustainability of the economic recovery. However, some officials feel BoE inflation target changes to GDP would only complicate monetary policy transmission.

Tuesday, January 22, 2013

European Stock Market Direction Not Sure Post BoJ decision

European Stock Market Direction Not Sure Post BoJ decision. European stock markets moved erratically in early London trading session on Tuesday as investors digest the latest monetary policy decision from the Bank of Japan will introduce monetary easing program in an open and formal inflation target of 2%. Observed so far London's FTSE index was almost flat at 6,137.50, while Germany's DAX down -0.19%, at 7,733.5 and France's CAC dropped -0.19% at 3,756.0 far. Overall European stock indices are moving in fairly narrow range while awaiting key U.S. earnings reports released this weeks prior to continue rising to the highest level of the new 2-year. A series of U.S. corporate earnings reports such as Google, IBM and J & J can provide indication of prospects for corporate earnings around the world after the initial positive earnings reporting season in the United States. Besides Spain also become the focus, after the Spanish government said it would test the market by selling bonds syndication with 10-year tenor.

Most investors assess various European stocks are still relatively undervalued in some sectors in particular equipment and steel sector stocks, in the last two months investors hunt for European assets after the breakup of the euro zone fears subside and reported improved global macroeconomic data. Based on data from Thomson Reuters, despite having rallied for two consecutive months various issuers European stocks are still relatively cheap, with a 1/3 share in the listing on the Euro Stoxx 50 is still traded below its book value.

Gold Easter Rising BoJ decision


Gold climbed as the U.S. dollar weakened against many major currencies in exchange of monetary easing after the decision of the Bank of Japan, triggering the transfer of capital flows by Japanese investors towards gold. In theory appeal Gold better as the central bank attempts to weaken the Japanese Yen. Observed so far Gold spot price soared 0.12% to as low as $ 1,691.96, approaching the psychological level at 1.700 U.S. dollars per troy ounce. Technically, prices need to penetrate above the nearest resistance in the range of $ 1.694 to confirm its bullish target at $ 1.706 area. As for the bottom side, the nearest support area appears in 1689 and 1685, dropped again below the area can bring the price of gold to neutral zone as direction becomes less clear in the short term the possibility to test key support area 1677.

Bank of Japan Apply Open Ended Easing


Japanese Yen fell against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday after the Bank of Japan to surprise the market with a commitment to the asset purchase program in an open (open ended easing), so that could prop pairing USDJPY to 90.14 level before finally corrected sharply. Observed so far pairing turned into negative territory USDJPY -0.60% at 89.05, compared to the previous day at 89.61. Downward correction occurs after the new scheme an additional asset purchase program just started running in the next year. Political pressure on BoJ to tackle deflation has also raised its inflation target to 2 percent as has been previously thought. BoJ meeting which lasted for 2 days and ended on Tuesday decided that the year 2014 will change its asset purchase program to be open ended on certain assets every month with no set time limit completion of the asset purchase program.

Dutch Finance Minister Appointed As President of the Eurogroup

Dutch Finance Minister Jeroen Dijsselbloem appointed chairman of the eurozone finance ministers on Monday and the new states will leave policies to combat the crisis to shift the focus on long-term policies in order to improve the confidence of investors. Additionally Dijsselbloem stated policy in the euro zone is in recession phase, should lead to sustainable growth, fiscal discipline with adjustments based on specific country conditions and macro-financial risks. Dijsselbloem will replace the Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker as chairman of the Eurogroup, which is an agency of the European Union that have the power to make decisions to overcome the debt crisis. Dijsselbloem designated on the results of the Eurogroup meeting of euro zone's 17 finance ministers, but did not get a unanimous vote, in which Spain refused to support the Dutch minister. Eurogroup chairman's tenure will last for 2.5 years. The Netherlands is one of four euro zone member states that still have the highest credit rating during the crisis period, and includes the tough along with Germany, Finland to implement budget savings in various regions of Europe.

Final Mix, Asia Stock Influenced Various sentiment.


Asian market movements until the last trading session of the Asian session today (22/01) mix. While the yen rose to an index monitored post-release outcomes corrected last policy meeting. The dollar weakened against the yen after the Bank of Japan set a target inflation at 2% level and continue its asset purchase program. BoJ also pledged to continue its program of asset purchases if it is still needed. The greenback was at Y89.18 compared with Y89.62 Monday night in New York. Japan's prime minister just last month elected Shinzo Abe plans to terminate the long term Japan's deflation problem generating pressure on the yen in recent months. The central bank's announcement is in line with expectations. There is nothing new beyond market expectations, "said Wee-Khoon Chong, a senior rate analyst at Societe Generale in Hong Kong. Strengthening yen dragged down Japanese stocks with the Nikkei down 0.6%. Shares of exporters such as automakers such as Honda affected by the appreciation of the yen Motor is down 2.5% and Toyota Motor fell 1.3%. Currently the central bank has set a market-making and the focus is now shifting to the governor Masaaki Shirakawa news conference will be an opportunity for investors over the governor step in the face of deflation.

Olympus Corp. +6% After the company moved from a "supervisory post" since December 2011 after a financial scandal caught. Stock position is currently in a state of "alert" in Tokyo. Australia's S & P / ASX 200 moving flat with most mining companies achieve gain. Rio Tinto rose 0.9%, while Fortescue Metals Group rose 2.2%. Mining services contractor, MacMahon Holdings soared 6.7% in Sydney after announcing that it has won a contract worth A $ 1.8 billion to help build the Christmas Creek Mine in western Australia. China Shares continue to move up the index of Hong Kong, the Hang Seng rose 0.3% and the Shanghai Composite rose 0.1% in China. Among stocks that experienced the largest movement in Hong Kong, Sunac China Holdings fell 6.5% after briefly soared to $ 260 million. Sunac deal comes just a week after another Chinese developer, Evergrande Real Estate Group, rising to $ 561 million. South Korea's Kospi rose 0.3%.

Thursday, January 10, 2013

European stocks moving Up Sustained Positive China Data

European stocks moving Up Sustained Positive China Data. Moving European shares rose on Thursday after further evidence of the improvement in economic conditions in China, although investors remained wary ahead of ECB rate decision. Observed so far London's FTSE index rose 0.13% in the level of 6,062.50, while Germany's DAX rose 0.15% to a level of 7,737.0 and France's CAC fell thinly traded 3,713.0 -0.07% so far. The pace of China's exports soared sharply to 7-month highs in December, posted a solid recovery after the seventh consecutive quarter slowdown. Trade balance data released Thursday showed China's export growth rate of 14.1% last month compared to the previous year.

However reinforcement is still limited because of the attitude of wait-and-see investors ahead of ECB rate decision and press conference the President of the ECB. Although there has not diekspektasikan ECB interest rate changes, but Mr. Draghi is still potential to provide signals ECB rate cuts in coming months.

French Industrial Production Rises

Optimism seems to demand the end of the year managed to increase the activity of the industrial sector in France. It can be seen from the industrial production rose 0.5% in November; better than 0.2% and the prediction of an earlier publication which fell 0.6%. Improvement in industry conditions can certainly provide hope of the French economy could avoid a recession after GDP biggest economy in the euro-zone 2 is stagnant in recent quarters. Meanwhile, the euro is seen trying to reduce the attenuation in the London session. EUR / USD is now trading 1.3065, try to stay away from the daily low of 1.3038.

Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Euro Strengthens European Growth Optimism - Fundamental Forex News of Today

Euro Strengthens European Growth Optimism. The single currency Euro has strengthened in trade appeared Wednesday (31/10) due to the outbreak of optimism because Spain's GDP data release yesterday was not as bad as expected, so it has sparked some amount of speculative buying riskier assets including the Euro. Besides the latest news also said Greece close to agreeing to a reduction in savings programs (austerity cut) for a period of two years in order to encourage the exchange rate. And successful Italian bond auction in 5 and 10-year-old also helped boost the single currency.

However, the strengthening of the Euro seems they tend to be limited by concerns about Greece's new austerity measures agreement, and the uncertainty about when Spain will ask for a bailout. Technically, the target is still focused on strengthening Euro critical level $ 1.3 after passing the nearest prisoner's first range of $ 1.2985 which is the high range session yesterday.



On Again, Wall Street Predicted Winners

U.S. stock market (the U.S.) re-opened today after a two-day closure due to storm Sandy. Investors who earlier in the week forced to hold interest investment can now be cheered. Trading volume is believed to increase to several times higher than normal days. Throughout this month, the average daily transaction volume of 3.5 million shares. However, for this day, many analysts expect a bigger number. "It's hard to guess the direction of the market, but we will see a large volume for the same number of transactions by combining 3 days to one day," said Fred Dickson, Chief Market Strategist at DA Davidson & Co.

Expectation is possible because Wednesday is the concluding session in October. At the end of the month as they are now, investors, traders, hedge funds and mutual fund managers seek to balance position. Market participants also must not forget the agenda of the issuer's financial statements in the third quarter. Earnings were influential to the stock include Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW). Then there are the insurance companies and the financial sector such as Allstate (ALL), AIG (AIG) and Hartford Financial (HIG). Retailers, airlines and hotels, which are highly affected by the hurricane, is also a focus of attention.

Some companies that had been scheduled to release its earnings on Monday and Tuesday will be release earnings today. They are Hertz (HTZ), Mastercard (MA), Visa (V), First Solar (FSLR) and MetLife (MET, Fortune 500). Owners of capital are also new companies will respond to corporate actions that occurred during the storm struck. Among them is a management reshuffle news Apple Inc. (AAPL) and Lucasfilm purchase deal by Walt Disney (DIS) for $ 4 billion.