Showing posts with label European Cental Bank. Show all posts
Showing posts with label European Cental Bank. Show all posts

Thursday, January 10, 2013

ECB Decision Euro relief

ECB Decision Euro relief. The euro appreciated to a 1-week highs vs the U.S. dollar after the ECB is not signaling the existence of interest rate cuts in the future. The ECB also kept its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.75%. The euro was also boosted by Spanish debt auction, which reap strong demand and punched the 10-year bond yield down to 10-month lows. The euro also soared to its strongest level versus the yen 18-month and 1-month highs against the Swiss franc. "Most market participants, including I, previously predicted if the ECB would imply lower interest rates on loans," said Omer Esiner, chief market analyst at Commonwealth Foreign Exchange in Washington. "But in fact it did not happen, leading to a strong buy signal for the Euro."

George Fed: Interest Rates Low Could Trigger Inflation Surge

President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Esther George said that the record stimulus the central bank may be able to trigger the risk of financial instability and a surge in inflation.
A good friend of my heart. "A prolonged period of zero percent interest rates can substantially increase the risk of future financial imbalances and would impede the Fed's inflation target of 2 percent, George said today in a speech in Kansas City, Missouri. George said that he was concerned about the high level of asset purchases would "almost certainly increase the risk of an exit strategy FOMC complex" because bonds must eventually be sold. "Like everyone else, I was concerned about the high rate of unemployment, but I recognize that monetary policy contributed to the imbalances and financial instability, could easily exacerbate the unemployment rate as well as the level of repairs, said George to the Central Exchange.


Aussie catapulted China Trade Data

The Australian dollar surged to a 3-week versus the greenback after data showed China's imports rose to a record high. China's exports grew 14.1% in December, while imports rose 6%. That left a trade surplus of $ 31.6 billion. In a separate, data development approvals in Australia able to record a rise in the 3rd in 4 months in November, as lower interest rates encourage growth plan apartment projects. "China data, both imports and exports, has managed to surprise a lot of people," said Mike Jones, currency strategist at Bank of New Zealand in Wellington. "And it has added to investor optimism the economy will rebound in China, so that pushing the Aussie dollar to move higher."

Sterling Recovers After BoE policy meeting

Pound rebounded against the U.S. dollar after the Bank of England kept its monetary policy unchanged. BoE to maintain its key rate at a record low of 0.5% and raised its bond purchases from current levels, £ 375 billion. On the other hand, consumer spending and a stagnant British output still weak growth implies spare capacity in the economy. So keep expectations of further monetary easing in the coming months. Meanwhile, chief market economist at National Australia Bank, Tom VOSA, argues that despite the decline in output will increase expectations of further QE, the decision to expand its asset purchases likely will be launched after Mark Carney took over as the Governor of the BoE on July 1.

Tuesday, January 8, 2013

Physical demand from China and the USA Cheer Gold

Physical demand from China and the USA Cheer Gold. Gold futures rose to a weekly rate as rising demand from China, the second largest buyer in the world. China's imports from Hong Kong almost doubled in November from the previous month, the data indicated the government. The U.S. Mint has sold as many as 71.500 ounces of American Eagle gold coins this month, compared to 76.000 ounces of gold for all types of in December. On January 4, gold futures touched the lowest level in 4-months as the Federal Reserve's signal that the stimulus program likely will end this year.

"The decline in prices last week has attracted buyers, says Anthem Blanchard, CEO of Blanchard Vault. In a telephone interview. "We saw strong demand from China."

Euro Debt Rating worry about France

The euro turned lower versus the U.S. dollar as market participants adjust positions ahead of the meeting of the European Cental Bank Thursday tomorrow. Each signal rate cuts in the future of the ECB policy makers will potentially push euro lower. The euro was also weighed down by rumors that French debt if the rating will be lowered in the near future. However, the movement of the euro may still be limited ahead of ECB meeting and Spanish and Italian bond auctions later this week.

The fragility of the UK economy haunt Sterling

Pound fell against the greenback following the results of a survey of weak retail sales, which added to concerns about the fragility of the UK economy. Report of the British Retail Consortium showed retail sales barely rose in the Christmas holidays, reinforcing expectations that the economy will contract in the fourth quarter of 2012. Weak economic data also increase the risk of losing rating 'AAA' England.

Trade Deficit Landscape, Aussie Faded Charm

The Australian dollar slipped for the first time in 3 days after Australia's trade balance recorded a deficit widest since 2008. Imports exceeded exports recorded at A $ 2.64 billion ($ 2.77 billion) in November from the previous month's deficit was revised to A $ 2.44 billion. While an index swaps show traders see a 60% chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia will cut interest rates from 3% in the quarter.

Profit Taking Closer Showing USDJPY to 87.00

Stop loss continues to push the U.S. dollar moved lower against the yen, with the next strong support is located at 87.00 yen, according to Brad Bechtel Faros Trading. Bechtel added that profit-taking financial institutions on short yen positions previously recommended risk drowning USDJPY up to around 86 yen this week. On the other hand, falling U.S. Treasury yields were also given the threat USDJPY currency pair is known to be very sensitive to differences in U.S. and Japanese interest rates. Some market players see the greatest test for further USDJPY will come from the new stimulus package announcement by Finance Minister Friday. Investors also will not release the attention of Bank of Japan policy statement on 22 January. Currently, the U.S. dollar traded at 87.10 yen, or about 0.85% below the closing price yesterday.