Tuesday, January 8, 2013

Aussie increasingly eroded Post Trade Balance

Aussie increasingly eroded Post Trade Balance. Kangaroo domestic currency, Australian dollars, or better known as the Aussie seems to depreciate below its 1:05 traded Tuesday (8/1) post-release trade balance data are increasingly in deficit in November. Figures Australia trade balance recorded a deficit in November 2637 million USD, more bloated than the previous period in the level of -2088 million GBP, and the biggest drop in four years. In addition, the Australian government bond yields declined in two consecutive days, adds weight to the Aussie. AUD is currently recorded to be in the range of 1.0475 after rallying to a high of 1.0516 is limited, while the low level recorded at the level of today's 1.0470.

However, the weakening of the Aussie may be limited due to the persistence of the positive sentiment in global demand (global demand) following widespread speculation that Japan will increase monetary stimulus to prop up its economy. So that will automatically boost the demand for assets related to global growth. Japan, the largest export market of the 2nd Australia, reportedly is preparing a supplementary budget that includes the economic stimulus of up to ¥ 6 trillion ($ 68 billion) to public sector jobs. In addition, the Aussie also seems still propped up by expectations that the data this week showed retail sales and construction approvals in Australia will experience increase (release Wednesday and Thursday).

Positive Catalysts Runway Euro Rally Ahead of ECB

Until the afternoon trading on Tuesday (8/1), the euro appears in sparkling notes of appreciation against the U.S. dollar because investors are starting to appear thanks to adjusting their positions ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) this week. Euro Rally is also not free from the current speculation that the ECB will refrain from first to signal further cuts in interest rates when it meets later on Thursday (10/01). The euro recorded strong move in the range of 1.3124 after rallying up to 1.3139, higher than the record high level session yesterday at 1.3119.

In addition, a positive catalyst for the euro also came from Italy, where Silvio Berlusconi reported the attack to re-nominate him as prime minister in elections next month. But should watch out, each emerging indication of monetary stimulus or comments about the economic downturn, will still be at risk of dropping euros return.

Aussie In Session Below 1.0480 low

The Australian dollar weakened against its rivals still moving, the U.S. dollar, the Aussie is currently trading near session low at 1.0474 area. Australian bond yields move down in two days when the country reported a lack of data or the trade balance trade balance in November, the largest in four years. Valeria Bednarik, analyst at FXstreet.com said: "The move towards 1.0390 will likely hamper the movement up, and most would be considered a buying opportunity, while above 1.0525 will show the movement of the price movement in the 1.0600 area approaching next few sessions."

Aussie so far has eroded the entire movement overnight, the next bearish target at 1.0430 and 1.0400 area, according to the analyst. Above 1.0525, upward movement might find resistance at 1.0550 and 1.0600 figure.

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